5 Smart Money Accounts collectively contributed $65,400 and believe the US military will enter Iran by May.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, 5 smart money accounts have collectively invested $65.4k in betting "Yes" on "Will the US enter Iran before May," with the current probability of this event being "Yes" at 51%.
Trump is seeking a one-month ceasefire and has submitted a "15-point plan" to Tehran, potentially easing the short-term betting on an Iran war that has been ongoing for weeks. Interestingly, following this news development, the probabilities of two events on Polymarket have increased: ceasefire between US and Iran before April and US entering Iran before April.
Today, The Washington Post revealed that the Pentagon has ordered around 2,000 82nd Airborne Division paratroopers to be deployed to the Middle East, including the division's first brigade combat team and its command staff unit, bringing the total number of US troops in the region to about 50,000.
Note: Based on their trading history, the trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the events but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior after opening a position at a specific time.
Accounts:
0xdbedc5ab35d896d3226c6ea5e1708dfc631f10f7
0x38692cead875c0cd862052efbff8f6add7310e3c
0xea7957606f259bcba522a4681494555547a7a9cc
0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71
0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3
Total Investment: $65.4k
---------------------------------
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