Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC’s $73K Pivot, Is the “Digital Gold” Purge Over or Just Getting Started?
Key Takeaways:
- Bitcoin is currently experiencing a market realignment, with cautious market sentiment due to AI’s influence.
- The “Morning Bid” Effect highlights the selective nature of AI impacts on various industries, influencing Bitcoin’s market activity.
- Technical analysis shows Bitcoin undergoing a correction phase, with indicators pointing to continued selling pressure.
- Developments in RWA tokenization and DeFi are poised to boost Bitcoin’s longer-term prospects.
- Bitcoin Hyper on Solana introduces faster and more efficient BTC-based applications, enhancing its appeal.
WEEX Crypto News, 2026-02-05 10:42:51
The digital landscape of cryptocurrency is navigating a critical phase as we observe Bitcoin’s market adjustments and the increased integration of technological advancements. Indeed, the Bitcoin market is undergoing a nuanced period, reflected in its current trading value of approximately $73,350 as of February 4, 2026, accompanied by a slight decline of over 1.50% within 24-hour trading periods. While this slump might seem minor, it underscores the broader shifts influencing Bitcoin’s trajectory, weighed by various economic and technological forces.
Navigating Trends: The Influence of AI and Institutional Growth
Two primary themes currently influence Bitcoin’s journey. Caution characterizes the technological sector, largely due to the transformative presence of artificial intelligence (AI), while simultaneously, we are witnessing the expansion of institutional-level Bitcoin infrastructure. These dual forces are redefining how Bitcoin and similar digital assets interact with markets.
The “Morning Bid” Effect and Its Repercussions
AI’s transformative effect on industry dynamics cannot be overstated. Particularly, Reuters’ analysis known as the “Morning Bid” talks about how AI’s boom is becoming selective. The emergence of new AI “agents” by Anthropic has disrupted software and data service sectors, prompting investors to reconsider which corporations will thrive with AI and which ones might be eclipsed.
Additionally, this surge in AI’s adoption has resulted in significant shifts in stock market valuations for big players like Microsoft and AMD, despite their robust earnings. This phenomenon is further exemplified by Walmart reaching a monumental $1 trillion in market value, spotlighting how established companies leveraging AI for cost efficiencies are gaining market favor. Consequently, such unpredictability in business climates dampens Bitcoin’s market activity, as various stakeholders tread cautiously post-its lowest point prior to the 2024 US election.
Technical Indicators: Analyzing the “Three Black Crows”
The analytical lenses focused on Bitcoin’s price trajectory suggest bearish overtures. Specifically, visual representations of trading behaviors—such as the “Three Black Crows” pattern seen on weekly charts—indicate prolonged selling pressures may be imminent. These candlestick formations are significant not only for traders but for long-term investors seeking to understand near-term market sentiment.
Key Technical Levels to Observe
In assessing the technical landscape, several pivotal points and indicators draw attention to Bitcoin’s immediate prospects. Observers are advised to monitor specific thresholds and moving averages that serve as critical support or resistance barriers within Bitcoin’s trading cycles.
Real-World Asset Tokenization and DeFi: Laying the Groundwork for Growth
Amidst Bitcoin’s relatively flat performance, its adoption as a utility-driven financial instrument is flourishing, as demonstrated by pioneering financial moves within Latin America. Mercado Bitcoin has spearheaded this transformation by issuing over $20 million in tokenized private credit via the Rootstock Bitcoin sidechain. By April, this initiative targets expansion to $100 million, effectively bridging conventional private debt instruments with Bitcoin’s liquidity ecosystems.
Simultaneously, Frablance signifies advancements in decentralized finance (DeFi) through its integration with the Stacks layer onto Bitcoin. This strategic development not only slashes transaction times dramatically—to about 29 seconds compared to Bitcoin’s conventional 10-minute block timeframe—but also enables institutional players to engage Bitcoin in lending and yield-generation activities. As quantifiable as DeFi locked-in values are around $5.5 billion, they signal robust underpinnings for imminent Bitcoin growth phases.
2026 Prognosis: Charting a Path Towards Recovery
The sophisticated Path Tool featured on technical charts gestures towards strategic re-accumulation zones between $68,000 and $72,000 anticipated for the remainder of Q1. By maintaining its foothold above critical moving averages—such as the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA)—Bitcoin could eventually leverage a double bottom to catapult toward the $83,000 mark, before setting sights on substantial psychological thresholds near $100,000.
For strategic investors aligning with extended timelines, this downturn represents a “quantum-ready” transition phase. As AI perpetually alters traditional technology landscapes, Bitcoin’s allure as a decentralized, autonomous settlement system ascends. Concurrent developments with RWA tokenization and speedy DeFi integration reflect an infrastructural laying of groundwork poised to usher in the next crypto bull cycle.
Bitcoin Hyper: Bridging Speed and Security on Solana
Dovetailing on the narrative of synergy between rapid technological advancements and the robustness of Bitcoin’s blockchain security arises Bitcoin Hyper. This innovative evolution introduces Solana-level expediency to Bitcoin transactions, mitigating prior speed constraints to offer quick, cost-effective smart contracts, decentralized applications, and a burgeoning atmosphere for meme coin generation—all fortified through the foundational security of Bitcoin.
Audited for reliability by Consult, Bitcoin Hyper underlines its commitment to both trust and scalability—factors crucial as adoption metrics soar. Witnessed by a pre-sale surpassing $31.2 million and modest token pricing at $0.013675, demand burgeons for efficient Bitcoin-driven functionalities. Thus, Bitcoin Hyper embarks as a pivotal conduit linking major blockchain ecosystems, with the aspiration to reinvigorate Bitcoin’s adaptability, performance, and appeal.
In summary, while Bitcoin faces immediate challenges in market conditions and pressures, emerging technological integrations and institutional acceptance lay credible foundations for its continued evolution and potential resurgence. The amalgamation of AI efficiencies and the expansion of Bitcoin-focused DeFi infrastructures hints that although price movements appear subdued, the prelude to Bitcoin’s subsequent breakthrough is underway.
FAQ
What is the “Three Black Crows” pattern, and why is it important for Bitcoin analysis?
The “Three Black Crows” is a candlestick pattern visible in chart analysis, indicating a continued bearish trend in price movement. It’s perceived as important for Bitcoin analysis as it helps traders and investors identify potential selling pressure, enabling strategic decision-making around trading and investment.
How does AI influence Bitcoin’s market activity?
AI impacts Bitcoin’s market through the economic effects on technology and data service sectors. As AI distinguishes which companies will succeed or struggle, investor sentiment and market confidence shift accordingly, indirectly affecting Bitcoin’s market dynamics and trading volumes.
How is RWA tokenization beneficial to Bitcoin?
RWA tokenization, like the initiative led by Mercado Bitcoin, enhances Bitcoin’s utility by linking traditional finance instruments with cryptocurrency liquidity. This catalyzes broader acceptance and innovative financial interactions, bolstering Bitcoin’s appeal as a versatile financial tool.
What does the term “quantum-ready” imply in the context of Bitcoin?
“Quantum-ready” refers to Bitcoin’s anticipated preparedness to withstand and integrate upcoming technological shifts—like those envisaged with quantum computing—bolstering its long-term resilience as a decentralized, independent financial protocol amidst changing technological landscapes.
How does Bitcoin Hyper on Solana enhance the Bitcoin ecosystem?
Bitcoin Hyper accelerates Bitcoin’s environment by incorporating Solana’s speed into Bitcoin’s robust security architecture. This permits unprecedented transaction efficiency, facilitating everything from smart contracts to decentralized applications with minimal cost and latency, thereby expanding Bitcoin’s functional horizons.
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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk
Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:
To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:
Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:
(I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.
The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.
A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.
(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.
Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.
(III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.
The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.
(IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.
(5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.
(6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.
(7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.
(8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.
(IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.
(X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.
(XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.
(XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.
(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.
(XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.
(15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.
(16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.
(17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.
(18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.
(19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.
This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.

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