Crypto Price Prediction Today, February 4 – Focus on XRP, Cardano, and Dogecoin
Key Takeaways
- Bitcoin is facing significant pressure, affecting the entire cryptocurrency market, including heavyweights like XRP, Cardano, and Dogecoin.
- XRP’s price is in a declining trend, with potential for a transition if certain technical patterns shift.
- Cardano’s price has dipped below 2024 lows, but there are signals for a possible recovery if market dynamics change.
- Dogecoin may have reached an accumulation phase indicating potential future upward momentum.
WEEX Crypto News, 2026-02-05 10:40:50
As February begins, the cryptocurrency market remains on edge, with Bitcoin’s trajectory affecting the broader landscape. Bitcoin, despite being the dominant player, is wrestling with new yearly lows, exerting downward pressure across the crypto spectrum. Altcoins such as XRP, Cardano, and Dogecoin are particularly impacted, trading in areas far from the comfort zones investors have previously enjoyed. This analysis aims to unravel the current status and potential pathways for these digital currencies amidst a turbulent market scenario.
XRP Price Dynamics: A Look at Potential Pathways
XRP has been navigating through a challenging period. Characterized by a steep descending trend, XRP continues its pattern of lower highs and lower lows, a clear indicator of persistent bearish sentiment. Currently, XRP is trading in the $1.55 to $1.60 range, where sellers appear to dominate, and the market finds it hard to establish solid support.
The technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), hover around 27, signaling an oversold territory. This position theoretically opens doors for a short-lived bounce back, albeit such rebounds have, so far, not translated into lasting upward movement. To break this enduring bearish cycle and shift momentum, investors are eyeing a crucial price point—a daily close above $2.20. Achieving this level could disrupt the existing channel and potentially signal a bullish reversal.
Should Bitcoin continue its slide, there exists a strong likelihood that XRP may drift toward the lower $1.40 region, a zone marked by anticipated stronger demand. This scenario fits well within the broader cautious sentiment prevailing across markets currently. Observers and traders alike see XRP’s current state as a phase of late-stage vulnerability, where the possibility of a modest recovery lacks the necessary conviction to assert a definitive bullish transition.
Cardano’s Price Outlook: Navigating Below 2024 Lows
Turning our gaze to Cardano, the situation presents a mixed bag of challenges and opportunities. The plunge below the 2024 low levels is definitely concerning but could also point toward a potential turning point. This descent has the potential to burn out the selling pressure. If sellers begin to retreat and fail to capitalize on further downward momentum, it might set the stage for what is often referred to as a “bear trap.”
The RSI for Cardano currently settles around 32, which suggests that the significant downward momentum could be tapering off. If Cardano manages to stabilize itself within the $0.28 to $0.29 range and averts new lows, it might lay the groundwork for a nascent base, a critical sign of ebbing selling pressure.
A critical hurdle for Cardano lies at the $0.35 mark, a level that, if surpassed on a daily closing basis, could herald the beginning of a structural shift from a bearish continuation to a recovery mode. In such a scenario, one could foresee a realistic path toward $0.42 to $0.45 levels, provided Bitcoin finds a degree of stability. Despite the fragile circumstances, these elements position Cardano as an intriguing asset for contrarian investors looking for future potential gains amid uncertainty.
Dogecoin’s Market Stage: Accumulation Prior to a Potential Rally?
Dogecoin, a once high-flying memecoin, now mirrors exhaustion, slowing in its descent despite trading within a clearly defined downward channel. Selling efforts are present, but the selling force appears to have lost its intensity over recent times. The ongoing trade levels around $0.10 to $0.11 align with a prospective accumulation zone—a classic phase where weak investors exit, and discerning buyers start circling.
RSI indicators place Dogecoin in proximity to 31, just above oversold levels. Such stretched momentum often precedes a reactionary movement rather than more robust breakdowns. Whether Dogecoin manages to stabilize can greatly influence its near-term prospects. A pivot, marked by avoiding further lows and a daily leap above $0.13, would signal an essential change in structure.
Marking a decisive break from its channel would initially open pathways to $0.16, with potential progression to $0.20 if momentum evolves favorably. Dogecoin’s fortunes remain closely tied to market sentiment and liquidity fluctuations, emphasizing its character as a sentiment-sensitive asset. Should Bitcoin assuage its volatility and risk appetite rekindle, Dogecoin has the propensity to rebound swiftly, reaffirming its roots as a memecoin driven strongly by community and speculative interest.
The Bitcoin Influence: Evaluating Bitcoin Hyper’s Potential
Bitcoin, the cornerstone of the crypto market, faces criticism for limitations around speed, cost, and scalability, particularly under intensifying transactional demands. Addressing these critical drawbacks, Bitcoin Hyper emerges as a potential solution, crafted as a Bitcoin-centric Layer 2 framework. It aspires to introduce rapid, low-cost transactions and integrate smart contract functionalities—enhancing Bitcoin’s utility without sacrificing its core security features.
Bitcoin Hyper’s strategy involves retaining users within Bitcoin’s ecosystem for diverse services such as payments, decentralized apps, staking, and meme coin creation. By anchoring activities in BTC instead of migrating to alternative chains, it aims to consolidate its authority in the growing market field. The project has already witnessed significant momentum, with a presale total exceeding $31,000,000 and $HYPER priced at $0.013635 prior to its next price bracket adjustment.
Additionally, Bitcoin Hyper’s offer of staking rewards up to 38% entices early participants, leveraging Bitcoin’s network without direct competition, potentially providing a rewarding alternative. If Bitcoin vows to retain its flagship status long-term, enhancing scalability and functionality through initiatives like Bitcoin Hyper may prove pivotal. This adaptation marries the need for evolution with tradition, positioning Bitcoin at the forefront of the next possible evolution cycle.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
What are the major challenges XRP is facing right now?
XRP is currently enduring a challenging phase depicted by its descending channel trend, signaling a bearish sentiment. Given this setup, lower highs and lows indicate persistent selling pressure, reflecting broader market uncertainties.
How can Cardano’s recent breakdown below 2024 lows be interpreted?
Cardano’s slip beneath 2024 lows is alarming but can be telling of potential selling exhaustion. If sellers fail to press further downward momentum, this scenario might reverse into a bullish transition if confirmed by technical signals like surpassing key price levels.
Is Dogecoin likely to rally soon based on current market trends?
Dogecoin is experiencing a potential accumulation phase, suggested by its recent price behavior and RSI indicators nearing oversold territory. Stabilization and a subsequent breach of key resistance levels could set the stage for a rally provided market dynamics such as Bitcoin’s behavior remain favorable.
What distinguishes Bitcoin Hyper from regular Bitcoin transactions?
Bitcoin Hyper aims to address Bitcoin’s shortcomings by offering a Layer 2 solution that boasts faster, low-cost transactions, and smart contract capabilities. This approach enhances Bitcoin’s functionality, retaining core security but adding usability, an endeavor pivotal for Bitcoin’s long-term prevalency.
Why is the Bitcoin market still influencing altcoin performance heavily?
Bitcoin continues to underpin cryptocurrency market dynamics due to its leading position and historical impact on trading behaviors. Bitcoin’s movements often set the tone for altcoin performance, inciting shifts in market sentiment and liquidity that trickle down through the crypto spectrum.
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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk
Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:
To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:
Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:
(I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.
The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.
A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.
(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.
Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.
(III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.
The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.
(IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.
(5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.
(6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.
(7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.
(8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.
(IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.
(X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.
(XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.
(XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.
(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.
(XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.
(15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.
(16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.
(17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.
(18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.
(19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.
This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.

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